Weekly Observatory Report — 2026-10-09

Japan small caps, checked every night — week of 2026-10-09.

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Every listed Japanese equity, checked nightly. As of the 2026-10-09 close, 4 names are on the watchlist (pullbacks our rules classify as healthy) and 110 carry warning flags.

The full report — market context, the watchlist with tiers, and the scorecard of the prior issue's entries — is free to read during our open period.

Market context

LevelWeek change
TOPIX4,104.8+0.3% w/w
Growth 250 (small-cap growth)806.6+1.1% w/w
USD/JPY (as of 2026-10-08)¥158.28+0.30 w/w
JGB 10-year yield (as of 2026-10-08)3.09%-0bp w/w
VIX (as of 2026-10-07)15.1-1.26 w/w

Reference data only — TOPIX/Growth250 from exchange data, USD/JPY from ECB reference rates (FRED fallback), JGB from Ministry of Finance, VIX from FRED. We do not publish forecasts.

This week's observatory

Watchlist: 4 (2 core-size / 2 small & emerging). Most represented sectors: Information & Communication (2), Electric Power & Gas (1), Retail Trade (1). Warning flags: 110.

Watchlist notables (supply-demand tier A/B)

TickerNameSectorSupply-demand tierBusiness qualityBalance-sheet safetyValuation
5889Japan Eyewear Holdings Co.,Ltd.Retail TradeBHighMediumCheap

Tier reflects margin-trading supply and demand (A = light, B = neutral); it is not a ranking. Labels are systematic, not ratings. These are observations, not recommendations.

Scorecard — how last week's entries actually did

TickerNameSince entryStatus
7564WORKMAN CO.,LTD.+2.5%Still monitoring
9552Quants Research Institute Holdings,Inc.+13.9%Rebound confirmed
4058Toyokumo,Inc.+5.9%Rebound confirmed
350ADIGITAL GRID Corporation+2.3%Still monitoring
3659NEXON Co.,Ltd.-1.7%Still monitoring
3854I'LL INC+4.7%Still monitoring

Return from the prior issue's as-of close to this issue's. Every issue includes this scorecard — wins and losses, timestamped. Nothing is deleted retroactively.


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Tsukiyo Research provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. We are not a registered investment advisor in any jurisdiction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Data as-of 2026-10-09 close | Rules: crash:v1 / market_context:v1 | Body SHA-256: d1e65dc845e69ebe (hash of the content above this line)